Run Detail: 8a10a103
quarterly
completed
manual
81s
2026-02-24T23:45
Summary
- Risk Outlook
- NEUTRAL
- Macro Thesis
- Mixed signals across the AI ecosystem. Selective positioning recommended.
- Num Entries
- 1
- Num Exits
- 0
- Used Synthetic Data
- False
- Data Warnings
- []
Narrative
# Quarterly AI Ecosystem Strategy - Q1 2026 ## Macro Thesis Mixed signals across the AI ecosystem. Selective positioning recommended. **Risk Outlook:** NEUTRAL ## Strategic Shifts - Increase allocation to Semiconductor Manufacturing (signal: +0.254) - Increase allocation to Infrastructure (signal: +0.261) - Increase allocation to Secondary / Tertiary Beneficiaries (signal: +0.317) ## Layer Allocation | Layer | Signal | Direction | Max Allocation | |-------|--------|-----------|----------------| | Raw Materials & Components | +0.152 | MAINTAIN | 8% | | Semiconductor Manufacturing | +0.254 | INCREASE | 15% | | Chips & Accelerators | +0.179 | MAINTAIN | 18% | | Infrastructure | +0.261 | INCREASE | 15% | | Cloud & Compute Platforms | +0.161 | MAINTAIN | 18% | | AI Platforms & Tools | +0.018 | MAINTAIN | 12% | | Foundation Models & AI Services | +0.059 | MAINTAIN | 15% | | AI Applications | +0.051 | MAINTAIN | 15% | | AI-Enabled Transformation | +0.082 | MAINTAIN | 12% | | Secondary / Tertiary Beneficiaries | +0.317 | INCREASE | 10% | ## New Strategic Entries - **NRG** (NRG Energy): High bullish on NRG Energy (Secondary / Tertiary Beneficiaries, 10% AI revenue). Signal: +0.51.
NRG
BUY
NRG Energy
Signal: 0.506
Conviction: high
Target Weight: 2.53%
Layer: Secondary / Tertiary Beneficiaries
Sleeve: core
Urgency: THIS_WEEK
High bullish on NRG Energy (Secondary / Tertiary Beneficiaries, 10% AI revenue). Signal: +0.51.
Risk: AI theme derating
| Ticker | Composite | Conviction | Direction | Daily | Weekly | Quarterly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NRG | 0.506 | high | long | 0.260 | 0.141 | 0.783 |
| GOOGL | 0.496 | medium | long | 0.271 | 0.324 | 0.788 |
| AMKR | 0.435 | medium | long | 0.191 | 0.343 | 0.614 |
| ENTG | 0.431 | medium | long | -0.044 | 0.005 | 0.873 |
| MU | 0.419 | medium | long | 0.507 | 0.302 | 0.459 |
| ASML | 0.412 | medium | long | 0.295 | 0.172 | 0.651 |
| TSM | 0.408 | medium | long | 0.424 | 0.114 | 0.630 |
| ANET | 0.397 | medium | long | 0.094 | 0.381 | 0.513 |
| AME | 0.395 | medium | long | 0.291 | 0.042 | 0.639 |
| VST | 0.390 | medium | long | 0.147 | 0.332 | 0.471 |
| LITE | 0.377 | medium | long | 0.434 | 0.664 | 0.103 |
| CEG | 0.341 | medium | long | 0.224 | 0.149 | 0.484 |
| AMAT | 0.338 | medium | long | 0.248 | -0.025 | 0.661 |
| CRDO | 0.323 | medium | long | 0.450 | 0.385 | 0.224 |
| QCOM | 0.306 | medium | long | 0.371 | 0.093 | 0.463 |
| PLTR | 0.252 | medium | long | 0.059 | -0.136 | 0.983 |
| ETN | 0.241 | low | long | -0.278 | 0.175 | 0.703 |
| VRT | 0.226 | low | long | 0.292 | 0.273 | 0.162 |
| EMR | 0.215 | low | long | -0.094 | -0.214 | 0.712 |
| AVGO | 0.213 | low | long | 0.257 | 0.270 | 0.117 |
| KLAC | 0.209 | low | long | 0.127 | -0.013 | 0.418 |
| CREE | 0.206 | low | long | 0.091 | -0.103 | 0.633 |
| LRCX | 0.205 | low | long | 0.210 | -0.017 | 0.376 |
| EQIX | 0.201 | low | long | 0.372 | 0.211 | 0.135 |
| DLR | 0.192 | low | long | 0.092 | 0.168 | 0.246 |
| COHR | 0.180 | low | long | 0.349 | 0.370 | -0.046 |
| CDNS | 0.173 | low | long | -0.219 | 0.142 | 0.536 |
| AMD | 0.166 | low | long | -0.274 | 0.341 | 0.573 |
| NVDA | 0.164 | low | long | 0.161 | 0.218 | 0.113 |
| COREWEAVE | 0.160 | low | long | -0.176 | -0.134 | 0.800 |
| MKSI | 0.155 | low | long | -0.031 | 0.012 | 0.311 |
| DIS | 0.144 | none | neutral | 0.048 | -0.115 | 0.477 |
| UNH | 0.135 | none | neutral | -0.205 | -0.072 | 0.497 |
| PWR | 0.131 | none | neutral | 0.486 | 0.034 | 0.129 |
| MP | 0.117 | none | neutral | 0.130 | -0.012 | 0.204 |
| MRVL | 0.115 | none | neutral | -0.037 | -0.089 | 0.588 |
| JPM | 0.114 | none | neutral | 0.005 | -0.029 | 0.246 |
| ORCL | 0.106 | none | neutral | -0.659 | 0.148 | 0.659 |
| META | 0.096 | none | neutral | -0.020 | -0.063 | 0.412 |
| WMT | 0.089 | none | neutral | -0.152 | -0.302 | 0.512 |
| DDOG | 0.087 | none | neutral | -0.410 | -0.432 | 0.945 |
| AMZN | 0.070 | none | neutral | 0.117 | -0.242 | 0.389 |
| INTC | 0.055 | none | neutral | 0.104 | -0.082 | 0.219 |
| CAT | 0.054 | none | neutral | -0.064 | -0.063 | 0.217 |
| SNPS | 0.052 | none | neutral | -0.228 | -0.125 | 0.363 |
| VEEV | 0.046 | none | neutral | 0.213 | -0.237 | 0.236 |
| MSFT | 0.040 | none | neutral | -0.040 | -0.312 | 0.440 |
| JNJ | 0.028 | none | neutral | 0.253 | -0.066 | 0.049 |
| ADSK | 0.014 | none | neutral | -0.222 | -0.206 | 0.370 |
| TSLA | 0.012 | none | neutral | -0.170 | -0.274 | 0.389 |
| SUMCO | 0.003 | none | neutral | 0.021 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| GOOGL_FM | 0.000 | none | neutral | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| LTHM | 0.000 | none | neutral | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| META_FM | 0.000 | none | neutral | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| MSFT_FM | 0.000 | none | neutral | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| ARM | -0.002 | none | neutral | 0.205 | -0.271 | 0.087 |
| CRWD | -0.032 | none | neutral | -0.347 | -0.180 | 0.259 |
| CFLT | -0.032 | none | neutral | 0.014 | -0.301 | 0.139 |
| PANW | -0.043 | none | neutral | -0.319 | -0.435 | 0.427 |
| NOW | -0.048 | none | neutral | 0.070 | -0.474 | 0.198 |
| SNOW | -0.052 | none | neutral | -0.094 | -0.424 | 0.244 |
| BBAI | -0.079 | none | neutral | 0.060 | -0.452 | 0.078 |
| ESTC | -0.083 | none | neutral | -0.142 | -0.441 | 0.180 |
| MDB | -0.088 | none | neutral | -0.480 | -0.220 | 0.180 |
| CRM | -0.088 | none | neutral | -0.094 | -0.442 | 0.132 |
| AI | -0.091 | none | neutral | 0.007 | -0.474 | 0.096 |
| WDAY | -0.098 | none | neutral | -0.330 | -0.582 | 0.366 |