Early Signal logo Early Signal - AI Powered Portfolio

AI Model Portfolio

Paper-traded portfolio driven by Early Signal's quantitative analysis engine. All trades are simulated using historical closing prices with estimated slippage — no real capital is at risk.

Preview mode: Data is delayed by at least 24 hours. to unlock full access.
Portfolio
AI Model Portfolio
Inception: 2026-02-24
NAV
$101998.62
Cash: $100587.39
Status
Active
18 snapshots
Last Updated
2026-05-18
Rebalances weekly
Strategy
Signal-Weighted
Paper-traded · No real capital

Performance

Total Return
+2.05%
Max Drawdown
-1.87%
Win Rate
34.1%
123 trades
Alpha vs SPY
-4.51%
Alpha vs SOXX
-32.70%

Equity Curve

Profit & Loss Breakdown

Realized P&L
$1840.46
From closed trades
Unrealized P&L
$157.90
Open positions
Total P&L
$1998.36

Drawdown Analysis

Max Drawdown
-1.87%
2026-03-02 → 2026-03-30
Duration to Trough
28 days
Recovery
Recovered
21 days to recover

Current Holdings

Ticker Weight Market Value
MU 0.6% $622.31
NVDA 0.8% $788.92

Layer Attribution

Layer Weight Positions Market Value P&L Return
Chips & Accelerators 1.4% 2 $1411.23 $157.90 +12.60%

Recent Trades

Date Ticker Side Qty Price P&L Thesis
2026-05-18 AMD SELL 3.58 $420.57 $-138.30 —
2026-05-18 NVDA SELL 4.01 $222.10 $9.79 Low bullish on NVIDIA (Chips & Accelerators, 85% AI revenue). Signal: +0.16.
2026-05-18 MU SELL 0.83 $680.86 $134.57 Low bullish on Micron Technology (Chips & Accelerators, 35% AI revenue). Signal:
2026-05-18 AVGO SELL 0.96 $420.29 $-8.25 —
2026-05-18 INTC SELL 2.13 $108.06 $-45.92 —
2026-05-11 MU SELL 2.75 $794.53 $758.09 Medium bullish on Micron Technology (Chips & Accelerators, 35% AI revenue). Sign
2026-05-11 CVX SELL 4.17 $184.56 $-14.72 —
2026-05-11 ANET SELL 3.81 $136.29 $-20.00 —
2026-05-11 AMD BUY 3.58 $459.25 — Medium bullish on AMD (Chips & Accelerators, 45% AI revenue). Signal: +0.31.
2026-05-11 NVDA BUY 7.56 $219.66 — Medium bullish on NVIDIA (Chips & Accelerators, 85% AI revenue). Signal: +0.31.
2026-05-11 AVGO BUY 0.96 $428.86 — Low bullish on Broadcom (Chips & Accelerators, 40% AI revenue). Signal: +0.23.
2026-05-11 INTC BUY 2.13 $129.57 — Low bullish on Intel (Chips & Accelerators, 15% AI revenue). Signal: +0.15.
2026-05-04 AMD SELL 4.64 $341.20 $256.53 —
2026-05-04 NVDA SELL 7.76 $198.28 $-15.20 —
2026-05-04 TSM SELL 0.83 $401.21 $-3.47 —
2026-05-04 MRVL SELL 1.87 $163.50 $9.59 —
2026-05-04 AVGO SELL 0.42 $416.08 $-1.06 —
2026-05-04 MU BUY 1.60 $577.03 — Medium bullish on Micron Technology (Chips & Accelerators, 35% AI revenue). Sign
2026-05-04 CVX BUY 1.74 $192.47 — Low bullish on Chevron (AI HALO Stocks, 2% AI revenue). Signal: +0.23.
2026-05-04 ANET BUY 0.58 $172.79 — Low bullish on Arista Networks (Infrastructure, 55% AI revenue). Signal: +0.19.

Biggest Lessons

Largest losing trades — understanding what went wrong improves future decisions.

Date Ticker Loss Thesis Key Risk
2026-03-30 MU $-172.85 — —
2026-03-03 CRDO $-148.03 — —
2026-02-26 GOOGL $-141.38 Medium bullish on Alphabet (GCP) (Cloud & Compute Platforms, Valuation compression
2026-05-18 AMD $-138.30 — —
2026-03-02 AMKR $-91.55 — —

Disclaimer: This is a paper portfolio for educational purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All trades are simulated using historical closing prices with estimated slippage.

How This Portfolio Works

This is a paper-traded model portfolio — no real capital is at risk. All trades are simulated using historical closing prices with estimated slippage and commissions.

  • Positions are sized using Early Signal's quantitative signal engine with core/satellite/tactical sleeves.
  • Rebalancing occurs weekly after each weekly analysis run completes.
  • Performance metrics are calculated from actual simulated fills, not hypothetical signal returns.
  • NAV snapshots capture end-of-day valuations including cash, unrealized P&L, and realized gains/losses.

For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Past performance of this model portfolio does not guarantee future results. See Terms of Service for full disclaimers.