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Portfolio
AI Model Portfolio
Inception: 2026-02-24
NAV
$100845.75
Cash: $95057.02
Status
Active
30 snapshots
Last Updated
2026-08-17
Rebalances weekly
Strategy
Signal-Weighted
Paper-traded · No real capital

Performance

Total Return
+0.90%
Max Drawdown
-1.87%
Sharpe Ratio
0.93
Win Rate
37.6%
197 trades
Annualized
+1.90%
Alpha vs SPY
-10.58%
Alpha vs SOXX
-51.04%

Equity Curve

Profit & Loss Breakdown

Realized P&L
$757.30
From closed trades
Unrealized P&L
$88.17
Open positions
Total P&L
$845.47

Drawdown Analysis

Max Drawdown
-1.87%
2026-03-02 → 2026-03-30
Duration to Trough
28 days
Recovery
Recovered
21 days to recover

Current Holdings

Ticker Weight Market Value
DUK 0.5% $530.79
GLW 0.4% $426.01
LITE 0.3% $284.76
HPE 1.9% $1922.91
MU 0.4% $434.55
VRT 0.4% $397.27
AMKR 0.4% $411.67
NTAP 0.4% $375.75
NVT 0.3% $306.43
MOD 0.3% $306.61
WDC 0.2% $251.71
AAOI 0.1% $140.27

Layer Attribution

Layer Weight Positions Market Value P&L Return
Infrastructure 4.4% 9 $4411.72 $79.26 +1.83%
AI HALO Stocks 0.5% 1 $530.79 $9.75 +1.87%
Chips & Accelerators 0.4% 1 $434.55 $-0.43 -0.10%
Semiconductor Manufacturing 0.4% 1 $411.67 $-0.41 -0.10%

Recent Trades

Date Ticker Side Qty Price P&L Thesis
2026-08-17 CSX SELL 16.89 $50.53 $-3.21
2026-08-17 DOV SELL 4.02 $206.26 $-0.24
2026-08-17 DUK SELL 2.65 $123.46 $5.70 Low bullish on Duke Energy (AI HALO Stocks, 2% AI revenue). Signal: +0.17.
2026-08-17 GLW SELL 1.32 $173.04 $19.91 Low bullish on Corning (Infrastructure, 15% AI revenue). Signal: +0.23.
2026-08-17 LITE SELL 0.15 $967.93 $23.70 Low bullish on Lumentum (Infrastructure, 30% AI revenue). Signal: +0.21.
2026-08-17 HPE BUY 33.38 $57.67 Medium bullish on Hewlett Packard Enterprise (Infrastructure, 25% AI revenue). S
2026-08-17 MU BUY 0.43 $1012.76 Low bullish on Micron Technology (Chips & Accelerators, 35% AI revenue). Signal:
2026-08-17 VRT BUY 1.36 $292.72 Low bullish on Vertiv Holdings (Infrastructure, 60% AI revenue). Signal: +0.21.
2026-08-17 AMKR BUY 6.72 $61.36 Low bullish on Amkor Technology (Semiconductor Manufacturing, 45% AI revenue). S
2026-08-17 NTAP BUY 1.84 $204.40 Low bullish on NetApp (Infrastructure, 18% AI revenue). Signal: +0.22.
2026-08-17 NVT BUY 1.73 $177.39 Low bullish on nVent Electric (Infrastructure, 25% AI revenue). Signal: +0.18.
2026-08-17 MOD BUY 1.41 $216.97 Low bullish on Modine Manufacturing (Infrastructure, 35% AI revenue). Signal: +0
2026-08-17 WDC BUY 0.47 $536.55 Low bullish on Western Digital (Infrastructure, 18% AI revenue). Signal: +0.15.
2026-08-17 AAOI BUY 0.91 $155.04 Low bullish on Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (Infrastructure, 80% AI revenue). S
2026-08-10 STX SELL 2.82 $800.19 $-66.79
2026-08-10 AMZN SELL 2.22 $277.81 $-14.44
2026-08-10 JCI SELL 3.98 $150.55 $15.94
2026-08-10 MSFT SELL 1.16 $505.55 $20.26
2026-08-10 GOOGL SELL 1.63 $357.16 $-27.23
2026-08-10 ANET SELL 2.85 $191.33 $17.83

Biggest Lessons

Largest losing trades — understanding what went wrong improves future decisions.

Date Ticker Loss Thesis Key Risk
2026-06-08 PLTR $-310.76
2026-07-13 COHU $-227.09
2026-07-13 TER $-209.36
2026-06-08 ANET $-202.29
2026-06-08 SNOW $-199.40 Low bullish on Snowflake (AI Platforms & Tools, 35% AI reven High beta to tech selloff

Disclaimer: This is a paper portfolio for educational purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All trades are simulated using historical closing prices with estimated slippage.

How This Portfolio Works

This is a paper-traded model portfolio — no real capital is at risk. All trades are simulated using historical closing prices with estimated slippage and commissions.

  • Positions are sized using Early Signal's quantitative signal engine with core/satellite/tactical sleeves.
  • Rebalancing occurs weekly after each weekly analysis run completes.
  • Performance metrics are calculated from actual simulated fills, not hypothetical signal returns.
  • NAV snapshots capture end-of-day valuations including cash, unrealized P&L, and realized gains/losses.

For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Past performance of this model portfolio does not guarantee future results. See Terms of Service for full disclaimers.