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AI Model Portfolio

Paper-traded portfolio driven by Early Signal's quantitative analysis engine. All trades are simulated using historical closing prices with estimated slippage — no real capital is at risk.

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Portfolio
AI Model Portfolio
Inception: 2026-02-24
NAV
$101138.55
Cash: $93966.12
Status
Active
24 snapshots
Last Updated
2026-07-06
Rebalances weekly
Strategy
Signal-Weighted
Paper-traded · No real capital

Performance

Total Return
+1.19%
Max Drawdown
-1.87%
Win Rate
36.1%
155 trades
Annualized
+3.35%
Alpha vs SPY
-7.20%
Alpha vs SOXX
-56.83%

Equity Curve

Profit & Loss Breakdown

Realized P&L
$1404.99
From closed trades
Unrealized P&L
$-266.72
Open positions
Total P&L
$1138.27

Drawdown Analysis

Max Drawdown
-1.87%
2026-03-02 → 2026-03-30
Duration to Trough
28 days
Recovery
Recovered
21 days to recover

Current Holdings

Ticker Weight Market Value
ASX 1.2% $1173.09
COHU 0.9% $885.72
ONTO 0.9% $889.49
TER 0.7% $713.84
DDOG 1.0% $1049.65
XOM 0.7% $745.26
LMT 0.6% $621.44
GD 0.6% $584.20
ASML 0.5% $509.74

Layer Attribution

Layer Weight Positions Market Value P&L Return
Semiconductor Manufacturing 4.1% 5 $4171.88 $-263.66 -5.94%
AI HALO Stocks 1.9% 3 $1950.90 $-1.99 -0.10%
AI Platforms & Tools 1.0% 1 $1049.65 $-1.07 -0.10%

Recent Trades

Date Ticker Side Qty Price P&L Thesis
2026-07-06 TER SELL 1.77 $379.14 $-129.37 Low bullish on Teradyne (Semiconductor Manufacturing, 25% AI revenue). Signal: +
2026-07-06 COHU SELL 7.97 $58.64 $-73.10 Low bullish on Cohu (Semiconductor Manufacturing, 25% AI revenue). Signal: +0.21
2026-07-06 TT SELL 0.79 $486.75 $-4.24 —
2026-07-06 AMD SELL 0.54 $551.50 $1.99 Low bullish on AMD (Chips & Accelerators, 45% AI revenue). Signal: +0.19.
2026-07-06 TSM SELL 0.61 $451.34 $-10.31 —
2026-07-06 NVT SELL 1.65 $156.73 $-45.94 —
2026-07-06 AMKR SELL 3.10 $69.81 $-48.74 Low bullish on Amkor Technology (Semiconductor Manufacturing, 45% AI revenue). S
2026-07-06 WDC SELL 0.33 $576.88 $-51.78 —
2026-07-06 DDOG BUY 4.11 $255.63 — Low bullish on Datadog (AI Platforms & Tools, 25% AI revenue). Signal: +0.16.
2026-07-06 ASX BUY 17.99 $43.36 — Low bullish on ASE Technology (Semiconductor Manufacturing, 35% AI revenue). Sig
2026-07-06 XOM BUY 5.46 $136.58 — Low bullish on Exxon Mobil (AI HALO Stocks, 2% AI revenue). Signal: +0.22.
2026-07-06 LMT BUY 1.16 $538.54 — Low bullish on Lockheed Martin (AI HALO Stocks, 5% AI revenue). Signal: +0.19.
2026-07-06 ONTO BUY 1.96 $304.16 — Low bullish on Onto Innovation (Semiconductor Manufacturing, 40% AI revenue). Si
2026-07-06 GD BUY 1.55 $377.26 — Low bullish on General Dynamics (AI HALO Stocks, 3% AI revenue). Signal: +0.17.
2026-07-06 ASML BUY 0.28 $1826.90 — Low bullish on ASML Holding (Semiconductor Manufacturing, 45% AI revenue). Signa
2026-06-22 ASX SELL 54.69 $43.58 $275.63 Low bullish on ASE Technology (Semiconductor Manufacturing, 35% AI revenue). Sig
2026-06-22 HPE SELL 11.61 $48.35 $-18.23 Low bullish on Hewlett Packard Enterprise (Infrastructure, 25% AI revenue). Sign
2026-06-22 GD SELL 1.45 $343.02 $-24.48 —
2026-06-22 ANET SELL 2.59 $174.39 $13.28 —
2026-06-22 CRDO SELL 1.02 $302.22 $43.31 —

Biggest Lessons

Largest losing trades — understanding what went wrong improves future decisions.

Date Ticker Loss Thesis Key Risk
2026-06-08 PLTR $-310.76 — —
2026-06-08 ANET $-202.29 — —
2026-06-08 SNOW $-199.40 Low bullish on Snowflake (AI Platforms & Tools, 35% AI reven High beta to tech selloff
2026-03-30 MU $-172.85 — —
2026-03-03 CRDO $-148.03 — —

Disclaimer: This is a paper portfolio for educational purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All trades are simulated using historical closing prices with estimated slippage.

How This Portfolio Works

This is a paper-traded model portfolio — no real capital is at risk. All trades are simulated using historical closing prices with estimated slippage and commissions.

  • Positions are sized using Early Signal's quantitative signal engine with core/satellite/tactical sleeves.
  • Rebalancing occurs weekly after each weekly analysis run completes.
  • Performance metrics are calculated from actual simulated fills, not hypothetical signal returns.
  • NAV snapshots capture end-of-day valuations including cash, unrealized P&L, and realized gains/losses.

For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Past performance of this model portfolio does not guarantee future results. See Terms of Service for full disclaimers.