Early Signal | AI Portfolio

Summary

Market Regime
NEUTRAL
Overall Signal
0.151
Num Buys
5
Num Sells
0
Risk Alerts
['CRITICAL bottleneck: TSMC CoWoS Packaging (85% severity)', 'CRITICAL bottleneck: HBM3e Supply (90% severity)']
Used Synthetic Data
False
Data Warnings
[]
Data Quality
{'score': 0.75, 'grade': 'C', 'blocking': False, 'issues': [], 'metrics': [{'name': 'live_price_coverage', 'coverage': 1.0, 'threshold': 0.85, 'required': True, 'passed': True}, {'name': 'live_weekly_coverage', 'coverage': 1.0, 'threshold': 0.8, 'required': True, 'passed': True}, {'name': 'live_sentiment_coverage', 'coverage': 1.0, 'threshold': 0.4, 'required': False, 'passed': True}, {'name': 'live_valuation_coverage', 'coverage': 0.0, 'threshold': 0.6, 'required': False, 'passed': False}], 'provenance': {'prices': 'live', 'weekly_prices': 'live', 'sentiment': 'live', 'valuation': 'synthetic_or_missing'}}
Data Provenance
{'prices': 'live', 'weekly_prices': 'live', 'sentiment': 'live', 'valuation': 'synthetic_or_missing'}
What Changed
['New buy candidates: AMKR, ENTG, GOOGL, NRG, TSM.']
What Changed
  • New buy candidates: AMKR, ENTG, GOOGL, NRG, TSM.
Data Quality
Score
0.75
Grade
C
Blocking
no

Narrative

# Daily AI Ecosystem Brief - 2026-02-25

**Market Regime:** NEUTRAL | **Overall Signal:** +0.151

## Risk Alerts
- CRITICAL bottleneck: TSMC CoWoS Packaging (85% severity)
- CRITICAL bottleneck: HBM3e Supply (90% severity)

## Top Buy Signals

| Ticker | Name | Signal | Conviction | Layer | Thesis |
|--------|------|--------|------------|-------|--------|
| NRG | NRG Energy | +0.54 | high | Secondary / Tertiary Beneficiaries | High bullish on NRG Energy (Secondary / Tertiary Beneficiari... |
| GOOGL | Alphabet (GCP) | +0.51 | high | Cloud & Compute Platforms | High bullish on Alphabet (GCP) (Cloud & Compute Platforms, 2... |
| AMKR | Amkor Technology | +0.46 | medium | Semiconductor Manufacturing | Medium bullish on Amkor Technology (Semiconductor Manufactur... |
| ENTG | Entegris | +0.43 | medium | Raw Materials & Components | Medium bullish on Entegris (Raw Materials & Components, 55% ... |
| TSM | TSMC | +0.43 | medium | Semiconductor Manufacturing | Medium bullish on TSMC (Semiconductor Manufacturing, 50% AI ... |
NRG BUY
NRG Energy
Signal: 0.537
Conviction: high
Target Weight: 2.69%
Layer: Secondary / Tertiary Beneficiaries
Sleeve: core
Urgency: THIS_WEEK
High bullish on NRG Energy (Secondary / Tertiary Beneficiaries, 10% AI revenue). Signal: +0.54.
Risk: AI theme derating
GOOGL BUY
Alphabet (GCP)
Signal: 0.507
Conviction: high
Target Weight: 2.54%
Layer: Cloud & Compute Platforms
Sleeve: core
Urgency: THIS_WEEK
High bullish on Alphabet (GCP) (Cloud & Compute Platforms, 25% AI revenue). Signal: +0.51.
Risk: Valuation compression
Catalysts:
  • general: SerpApi fights back against Google lawsuit - Computerworld
  • general: SerpApi Says Google Doesn't Own the Internet, Files Motion to Dismiss Web Scraping Lawsuit - And
AMKR BUY
Amkor Technology
Signal: 0.457
Conviction: medium
Target Weight: 2.29%
Layer: Semiconductor Manufacturing
Sleeve: satellite
Urgency: THIS_WEEK
Medium bullish on Amkor Technology (Semiconductor Manufacturing, 45% AI revenue). Signal: +0.46.
Risk: Supply chain cyclicality
ENTG BUY
Entegris
Signal: 0.434
Conviction: medium
Target Weight: 2.17%
Layer: Raw Materials & Components
Sleeve: satellite
Urgency: THIS_WEEK
Medium bullish on Entegris (Raw Materials & Components, 55% AI revenue). Signal: +0.43.
Risk: Supply chain cyclicality
Catalysts:
  • earnings: Goldman Sachs Raises its Price Target on Entegris, Inc. (ENTG) to $95 and Maintains a Sell Ratin
TSM BUY
TSMC
Signal: 0.427
Conviction: medium
Target Weight: 2.13%
Layer: Semiconductor Manufacturing
Sleeve: satellite
Urgency: THIS_WEEK
Medium bullish on TSMC (Semiconductor Manufacturing, 50% AI revenue). Signal: +0.43.
Risk: Supply chain cyclicality
TickerCompositeConviction DirectionDailyWeeklyQuarterly
NRG 0.537 high long 0.573 0.141 0.783
GOOGL 0.507 high long 0.315 0.324 0.788
AMKR 0.457 medium long 0.305 0.343 0.614
ENTG 0.434 medium long -0.029 0.005 0.873
TSM 0.427 medium long 0.517 0.114 0.630
ASML 0.424 medium long 0.355 0.172 0.651
MU 0.417 medium long 0.502 0.302 0.459
ANET 0.402 medium long 0.130 0.381 0.513
AME 0.395 medium long 0.291 0.042 0.639
VST 0.394 medium long 0.186 0.332 0.471
LITE 0.383 medium long 0.474 0.664 0.103
CEG 0.369 medium long 0.502 0.149 0.484
AMAT 0.330 medium long 0.207 -0.025 0.661
AMD 0.314 medium long -0.019 0.341 0.573
QCOM 0.300 medium long 0.351 0.093 0.463
CRDO 0.291 medium long 0.238 0.385 0.224
CDNS 0.288 medium long -0.016 0.142 0.536
PLTR 0.238 low long -0.024 -0.136 0.983
ETN 0.236 low long -0.333 0.175 0.703
EMR 0.227 low long 0.075 -0.214 0.712
VRT 0.219 low long 0.245 0.273 0.162
NVDA 0.208 low long 0.308 0.218 0.113
CREE 0.199 low long 0.032 -0.103 0.633
KLAC 0.192 low long 0.043 -0.013 0.418
DLR 0.190 low long 0.081 0.168 0.246
COHR 0.190 low long 0.415 0.370 -0.046
EQIX 0.186 low long 0.275 0.211 0.135
COREWEAVE 0.182 low long -0.053 -0.134 0.800
LRCX 0.170 low long 0.033 -0.017 0.376
DIS 0.142 none neutral 0.030 -0.115 0.477
AVGO 0.142 none neutral 0.020 0.270 0.117
PWR 0.134 none neutral 0.514 0.034 0.129
MP 0.133 none neutral 0.233 -0.012 0.204
UNH 0.119 none neutral -0.359 -0.072 0.497
ORCL 0.115 none neutral -0.604 0.148 0.659
MRVL 0.101 none neutral -0.100 -0.089 0.588
WMT 0.101 none neutral -0.046 -0.302 0.512
AMZN 0.094 none neutral 0.255 -0.242 0.389
DDOG 0.092 none neutral -0.380 -0.432 0.945
MKSI 0.091 none neutral -0.202 0.012 0.311
SNPS 0.079 none neutral -0.032 -0.125 0.363
META 0.077 none neutral -0.130 -0.063 0.412
INTC 0.072 none neutral 0.184 -0.082 0.219
CAT 0.061 none neutral 0.003 -0.063 0.217
JPM 0.057 none neutral -0.209 -0.029 0.246
VEEV 0.047 none neutral 0.219 -0.237 0.236
TSLA 0.039 none neutral -0.018 -0.274 0.389
MSFT 0.035 none neutral -0.068 -0.312 0.440
ADSK 0.026 none neutral -0.153 -0.206 0.370
JNJ 0.025 none neutral 0.225 -0.066 0.049
SUMCO 0.002 none neutral 0.015 0.000 0.000
GOOGL_FM 0.000 none neutral 0.000 0.000 0.000
LTHM 0.000 none neutral 0.000 0.000 0.000
META_FM 0.000 none neutral 0.000 0.000 0.000
MSFT_FM 0.000 none neutral 0.000 0.000 0.000
ARM -0.001 none neutral 0.210 -0.271 0.087
CRWD -0.031 none neutral -0.337 -0.180 0.259
BBAI -0.042 none neutral 0.235 -0.452 0.078
NOW -0.049 none neutral 0.069 -0.474 0.198
SNOW -0.053 none neutral -0.098 -0.424 0.244
PANW -0.053 none neutral -0.379 -0.435 0.427
CRM -0.068 none neutral 0.017 -0.442 0.132
ESTC -0.078 none neutral -0.117 -0.441 0.180
AI -0.085 none neutral 0.038 -0.474 0.096
MDB -0.087 none neutral -0.474 -0.220 0.180
CFLT -0.109 none neutral -0.423 -0.301 0.139
WDAY -0.118 none neutral -0.446 -0.582 0.366