Run Detail: 5773f0a6-77da-460a-9a08-0574d95bfb8b
daily
completed
scheduled
136s
Oct 1, 2026 15:00 UTC
Summary
- Market Regime
- NEUTRAL
- Overall Signal
- 0.016
- Num Buys
- 2
- Num Sells
- 0
- Used Synthetic Data
- False
What Changed
- Top buy/sell lists are broadly unchanged from previous daily run.
Data Quality
- Score
- 0.74
- Grade
- C
- Blocking
- no
What Changed This Run
No recent recommendation-change summary is available yet.
Narrative
# Daily AI Ecosystem Brief - 2026-10-01 **Market Regime:** NEUTRAL | **Overall Signal:** +0.016 ## Risk Alerts - CRITICAL bottleneck: Grid Gear / Long-Lead Electrical Equipment (87% severity) - CRITICAL bottleneck: TSMC CoWoS Packaging (90% severity) - CRITICAL bottleneck: HBM3e Supply (98% severity) - CRITICAL bottleneck: NVIDIA Blackwell/Rubin GPUs (95% severity) ## Top Buy Signals | Ticker | Name | Signal | Conviction | Layer | Thesis | |--------|------|--------|------------|-------|--------| | NVDA | NVIDIA | +0.18 | low | Chips & Accelerators | Low bullish on NVIDIA (Chips & Accelerators, 85% AI revenue)... | | MSFT | Microsoft | +0.16 | low | Cloud & Compute Platforms | Low bullish on Microsoft (Cloud & Compute Platforms, 30% AI ... |
NVDA
ADD
NVIDIA
Signal: 0.180
Conviction: low
Target Weight: 0.90%
Layer: Chips & Accelerators
Sleeve: tactical
Urgency: OPPORTUNISTIC
Low bullish on NVIDIA (Chips & Accelerators, 85% AI revenue). Signal: +0.18.
Risk: High beta to tech selloff
Catalysts:
- product: NVIDIA (NVDA) Launched An Open Source AI Agent Safety Platform - Simply Wall Street
- product: NVIDIA RTX Spark N1X-Powered ASUS ProArt 16 Laptop Slated for October Launch - TechPowerUp
MSFT
ADD
Microsoft
Signal: 0.158
Conviction: low
Target Weight: 0.79%
Layer: Cloud & Compute Platforms
Sleeve: tactical
Urgency: OPPORTUNISTIC
Low bullish on Microsoft (Cloud & Compute Platforms, 30% AI revenue). Signal: +0.16.
Risk: Valuation compression
| Ticker | Composite | Conviction | Direction | Daily | Weekly | Quarterly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 0.180 | low | long | 0.602 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| MSFT | 0.158 | low | long | 0.631 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| SNPS | 0.141 | none | neutral | 0.705 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| COHU | 0.135 | none | neutral | 0.676 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| MU | 0.134 | none | neutral | 0.445 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| ASX | 0.128 | none | neutral | 0.641 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| TSM | 0.123 | none | neutral | 0.613 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| TER | 0.122 | none | neutral | 0.611 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| CDNS | 0.120 | none | neutral | 0.602 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| GOOGL | 0.120 | none | neutral | 0.481 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| VEEV | 0.120 | none | neutral | 0.480 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| ONTO | 0.116 | none | neutral | 0.582 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| LRCX | 0.109 | none | neutral | 0.545 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| ON | 0.109 | none | neutral | 0.435 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| ASML | 0.106 | none | neutral | 0.529 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| AMAT | 0.105 | none | neutral | 0.526 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| KLAC | 0.104 | none | neutral | 0.522 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| MCHP | 0.102 | none | neutral | 0.341 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| AI | 0.101 | none | neutral | 0.338 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| AVGO | 0.092 | none | neutral | 0.308 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| AMZN | 0.092 | none | neutral | 0.369 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| NTAP | 0.081 | none | neutral | 0.539 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| TT | 0.079 | none | neutral | 0.524 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| DDOG | 0.078 | none | neutral | 0.312 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| COREWEAVE | 0.074 | none | neutral | 0.297 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| INTC | 0.068 | none | neutral | 0.227 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| MKSI | 0.067 | none | neutral | 0.447 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| AMD | 0.067 | none | neutral | 0.222 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| ANET | 0.064 | none | neutral | 0.428 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| HPE | 0.063 | none | neutral | 0.423 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| GFS | 0.062 | none | neutral | 0.250 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| AEHR | 0.061 | none | neutral | 0.406 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| AMKR | 0.059 | none | neutral | 0.297 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| CRWD | 0.056 | none | neutral | 0.226 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| CVX | 0.053 | none | neutral | 0.530 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| NVT | 0.050 | none | neutral | 0.334 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| ESTC | 0.050 | none | neutral | 0.199 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| PANW | 0.046 | none | neutral | 0.185 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| GEV | 0.042 | none | neutral | 0.281 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| APH | 0.041 | none | neutral | 0.273 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| CARR | 0.040 | none | neutral | 0.269 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| CIEN | 0.040 | none | neutral | 0.263 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| JCI | 0.039 | none | neutral | 0.258 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| XOM | 0.037 | none | neutral | 0.373 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| MOD | 0.033 | none | neutral | 0.222 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| MRVL | 0.032 | none | neutral | 0.106 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| CAT | 0.030 | none | neutral | 0.203 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| NEE | 0.030 | none | neutral | 0.299 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| UNP | 0.028 | none | neutral | 0.284 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| DUK | 0.028 | none | neutral | 0.281 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| ENTG | 0.026 | none | neutral | 0.171 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| AME | 0.025 | none | neutral | 0.247 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| WOLF | 0.024 | none | neutral | 0.162 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| LITE | 0.024 | none | neutral | 0.157 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| AMGN | 0.023 | none | neutral | 0.151 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| PLTR | 0.020 | none | neutral | 0.079 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| SUMCO | 0.019 | none | neutral | 0.125 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| RTX | 0.019 | none | neutral | 0.187 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| GD | 0.017 | none | neutral | 0.167 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| SMCI | 0.016 | none | neutral | 0.104 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| COP | 0.015 | none | neutral | 0.153 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| PSTG | 0.014 | none | neutral | 0.096 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| MP | 0.011 | none | neutral | 0.076 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| DELL | 0.011 | none | neutral | 0.074 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| MTZ | 0.011 | none | neutral | 0.107 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| DIS | 0.010 | none | neutral | 0.064 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| PWR | 0.009 | none | neutral | 0.094 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| EME | 0.008 | none | neutral | 0.057 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| WDC | 0.008 | none | neutral | 0.054 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| CRDO | 0.008 | none | neutral | 0.051 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| EMR | 0.007 | none | neutral | 0.073 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| SNOW | 0.007 | none | neutral | 0.028 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| AAOI | 0.007 | none | neutral | 0.046 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| LIN | 0.007 | none | neutral | 0.069 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| COHR | 0.005 | none | neutral | 0.036 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| WCC | 0.004 | none | neutral | 0.027 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| NRG | 0.003 | none | neutral | 0.035 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| BBAI | 0.003 | none | neutral | 0.010 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| CMI | 0.000 | none | neutral | 0.004 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| CFLT | 0.000 | none | neutral | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| GOOGL_FM | 0.000 | none | neutral | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| META_FM | 0.000 | none | neutral | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| MSFT_FM | 0.000 | none | neutral | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| DOV | -0.001 | none | neutral | -0.007 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| SCCO | -0.001 | none | neutral | -0.007 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| GLW | -0.004 | none | neutral | -0.029 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| KO | -0.005 | none | neutral | -0.031 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| SBUX | -0.005 | none | neutral | -0.021 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| MDB | -0.006 | none | neutral | -0.025 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| ACM | -0.007 | none | neutral | -0.071 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| CEG | -0.007 | none | neutral | -0.071 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| CSX | -0.010 | none | neutral | -0.096 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| VST | -0.010 | none | neutral | -0.098 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| NOW | -0.011 | none | neutral | -0.044 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| STX | -0.012 | none | neutral | -0.047 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| SO | -0.012 | none | neutral | -0.122 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| LMT | -0.013 | none | neutral | -0.135 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| FCX | -0.014 | none | neutral | -0.142 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| FIX | -0.017 | none | neutral | -0.172 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| TECK | -0.017 | none | neutral | -0.116 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| LOW | -0.019 | none | neutral | -0.192 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| UNH | -0.020 | none | neutral | -0.132 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| NSC | -0.020 | none | neutral | -0.202 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| HD | -0.020 | none | neutral | -0.204 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| WDAY | -0.023 | none | neutral | -0.090 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| META | -0.024 | none | neutral | -0.097 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| QCOM | -0.026 | none | neutral | -0.088 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| ORCL | -0.027 | none | neutral | -0.106 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| VRT | -0.028 | none | neutral | -0.186 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| STRL | -0.029 | none | neutral | -0.196 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| ETN | -0.034 | none | neutral | -0.225 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| CRM | -0.034 | none | neutral | -0.135 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| POWL | -0.034 | none | neutral | -0.226 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| J | -0.034 | none | neutral | -0.339 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| JNJ | -0.036 | none | neutral | -0.242 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| APD | -0.036 | none | neutral | -0.243 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| JPM | -0.040 | none | neutral | -0.269 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| EQIX | -0.042 | none | neutral | -0.279 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| DE_H | -0.052 | none | neutral | -0.523 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| WMT | -0.055 | none | neutral | -0.365 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| HUBB | -0.058 | none | neutral | -0.389 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| NUE | -0.060 | none | neutral | -0.603 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| ARM | -0.077 | none | neutral | -0.257 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| TSLA | -0.078 | none | neutral | -0.313 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| TTD | -0.079 | none | neutral | -0.315 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| CRCL | -0.079 | none | neutral | -0.316 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| APLD | -0.082 | none | neutral | -0.543 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| CIFR | -0.084 | none | neutral | -0.563 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| CORZ | -0.088 | none | neutral | -0.587 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| BTDR | -0.090 | none | neutral | -0.602 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| ADSK | -0.096 | none | neutral | -0.382 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| EWY | -0.099 | none | neutral | -0.396 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| IREN | -0.099 | none | neutral | -0.660 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| DLR | -0.106 | none | neutral | -0.705 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| SWKS | -0.133 | none | neutral | -0.532 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| HUBS | -0.137 | none | neutral | -0.550 | 0.000 | 0.000 |